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Episode 347 - Karl Fitzgerald

In this episode, Karl Fitzgerald discusses how we should view and tax windfall profits from land banking.

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Transcript
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. Welcome back to you listener.

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This is the iron fist of the velvet glove podcast, a special episode.

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Another guest this time, uh, on this occasion, I've got, um, Carl Fitzgerald

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with me and, uh, welcome aboard Carl.

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Welcome to the podcast.

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Yes, Trevor.

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I feel like I should have my velvet glove.

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Yeah.

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So you're down in Victoria and it's cold and you've got a blanket

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and you've got gloves in your rug.

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Um, I'm in Queensland, it's probably 22 degrees outside, but I've still got a

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jumper on that's how soft we are up here.

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So good to have you on the podcast and people are wondering, well,

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who the hell is Cal Fitzgerald?

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We'll call is he's a cyclist and a Renegade economist.

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If I was to put it into a sentence, is that right?

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The short description car, how, how do you describe yourself?

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Um, yeah, well, I wasn't as a mad cyclist until we moved up here,

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uh, to the Bush five years ago.

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And since then, um, you know, the size of my girth has expanded as, uh, I

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replaced cycling with, uh, smashing GOs and thistles and whatever else needs

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doing here on, uh, our beautiful 27 8.

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Yes, we'll talk about that.

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That you're converting it into sort of some sort of community type of

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property, but, um, we'll get onto that.

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Uh, but basically you've got an interest and an expertise in economics, and

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you've got a particular interest in, in land and taxing windfall profits and

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the wealth that's created, especially through land and monopoly situations

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and how to rearrange our society.

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So it's fairer for all.

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And, um, just by way of background, then you were running a podcast which was

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called Renegade economists, which is still available for people to download.

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And I think you got to 601 episode.

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I have a 14 years, Carl.

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I mean, where's your resilience and your persistence.

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I did.

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It was pretty, um, epic a year, 14 years on community radio.

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That was podcasted as well.

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Um, fire the delightful three CR here in Melbourne and, uh, yeah,

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without an executive producer and having to churn it out weekly or

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then wound it back to monthly.

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And, um, yeah, it's just, uh, I don't know.

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I needed a break, so this is nice.

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This is the first time I've, um, I've done a podcast interview,

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uh, since November last year.

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So, um, yeah.

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Great to be back on air.

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Yeah.

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Well, you'll just slip back into the saddle and feel

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like you've never been away.

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So I've done about 350 over seven years.

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So I'm on track.

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Um, Yeah, I've got a feeling for what you've done.

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So, um, so anyway, um, let's talk about the issues that you talked about

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in your podcast and, and you've been involved with a group called prosper

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Australia and, and your podcast and the stuff you've been doing.

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So what is the main theme?

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The key idea that you've been chasing and trying to.

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Explain and advocate for, cause you're a communicator with a podcast

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and you're rolling prosperous trail.

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You was as an advocate.

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So you've been trying to get the word out about something.

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Carl, what is the word you've been trying to get out?

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Can I summarize it in 13 words or less?

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That is key.

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Uh, but essentially we are about rebalancing the so-called level playing

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field, so that monopolous who have a natural advantage over anyone trying to

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earn a wage or run a business, uh, pay a little bit more for that legal privilege.

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And from that, we can use that funding stream to reduce taxes on incomes,

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across labor and even capital.

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Yep.

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So there's a distinction between capital that is productive and

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capital, which is just extract.

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Unearned wealth is kind of what we're getting at.

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Is that rolling?

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Yes.

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Unearned income is the issue, uh, that, uh, property owners can, um, can make

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in their sleep as John Stuart mill said.

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So, uh, when, when you have that sort of disparity, you know, w w work is

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scrambling to get to work on time and, you know, 8 59, 9 o'clock in the morning,

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whereas the monopolist, uh, still ends money, whether they're on the ski slopes

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of Whistler or in a hammock in Hawaii.

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So that's, you know, that was, uh, uh, a prominent aspect of political

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analysis up until world war II.

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It really was one of the mainstays of, of, uh, public debate, whether

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you're a conservative or a progressive.

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So, um, it's all about trying to rekindle, um, this, this loss

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knowledge base that's been around for virtually thousands of years, right?

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So there was a recognition back then, but it's been lost.

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And I can sense that loss as well.

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I mean, I'm old fashioned Carl, I attend dinner parties and getting to

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arguments and often with people who own multiple rental properties and,

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and they will bang on the table about how hard they work in terms of looking

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after their properties and, and putting up with tenants who damaged them.

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And, and no doubt there is some time involved, but your analysis

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is that there's unearned income there that it's, it's profit beyond.

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What's actually.

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Normal or deserved.

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How does this, you know, people would say, well, you know, I

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worked hard, I paid the rights.

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I pay the interest.

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I had the deposit, I saved up my other money.

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I worked hard for this property portfolio.

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I have, I deserve everything I get from the, from the capital gains that accrue.

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So what are you saying?

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They just say they deserve a return on their capital for sure.

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But it's the locational value that typically is what rises.

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Uh, so we should all get a share of that.

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And, uh, there should be, um, Lower taxes on, um, company structures and so forth.

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So yeah, basically two thirds of the rent you would pay would

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reflect the locational value.

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And one third would be the rental value.

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So, um, ultimately if we were to have our system in place, people

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would be paying somewhere around about a six to a 7% land tax, but

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that would be sufficient along with.

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Taxes are monopoly to totally remove income tax.

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So, you know, imagine two or three people living in your household

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and no one's paying income tax.

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We've also got rid of GST.

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Uh, there's, there's a huge tax shift potential there.

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And, uh, it's interesting that Singapore who uses elements of this

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system has pretty much set the default rate for a minimum income taxes.

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As we see the OACD, um, arguing for now for companies to have a minimum 15%, the

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so-called Warren buffet rule, um, we'll get onto solutions in a little bit, but

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I just still want to just sort of, um, get over the threshold of a recognition

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of the unjustness or unfairness of the capital gain that accrues.

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So, um, Jackie trad is a politician up here and she got into trouble

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because she owned a rental property.

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That was going to be near a change to a train station that will, and gabber, I

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think, associated with different things.

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And, and because it hadn't been declared properly, there were

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issues and people saying, oh, you're getting this windfall gain from this

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infrastructure that's going to be built.

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And, you know, you should have disclosed it, short story.

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And this happens all the time where people buy properties and, and then

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hospitals, infrastructure, shopping centers, other things that increase

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the value of that, um, piece of land will crop up as part of our

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civilization of, of, of the, of the land.

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And, and that's kind of what leads to these, um, sort of windfall profits

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is, is the other infrastructure that the community is built around

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this land that, that might've been sitting there doing nothing.

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Is that part of the argument.

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We have a saying that land price takes all the gains.

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So whether it's an increase in the first home buyers, grant, it's

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volunteers, planting trees, um, near that train station, it's Banksy doing

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some graffiti near the train station.

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It's a new hospital.

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Uh, all of those things make a location location so much more valuable.

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Uh, and whilst that is the number one strategy in real estate, um, it's

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moved from, uh, top of the pops in economics, pre-World war one pre uh,

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20th century, um, into this world now where, uh, it's barely mentioned.

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And, uh, we need a superstar economists like Joseph Stiglitz to

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come to Australia and reminders of this, uh, this historical wisdom of,

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of, uh, leveling the playing field.

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Um, I was listening to one of your podcasts and you're talking about the

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land banking and that there's no incentive for developers to release land, to meet.

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The demand.

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Do you want to explain that concept?

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Yes.

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Well, gee, so I'm, I'm right on the edge of my seat here.

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Cause uh, uh, for 10 years I've been trying to do this report and I've just

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sent it to, um, one of Australia's leading investigative journalists

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to release this time next week.

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And it's called the staged releases report, peering

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behind the land supply curtain.

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And so everyone would have heard, uh, that housing affordability, you

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know, it's all reliant on housing supply and uh, it's these planning

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departments who, uh, hold things up with all this red tape bureaucracy

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that is, uh, the problem we have.

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We are in cahoots with a university of new south Wales.

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We bought some very expensive data to actually see what happens once

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developers get all this land rezoned.

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And we looked at, uh, the sales over a 20 odd years and analyze the timing

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and the size of those, uh, N number of properties released to the market

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in what's called a staged release.

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And so if listeners, uh, viewers go and visit a master plan community, make

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sure you check out the display home and just outside at they'll have a giant big

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billboard, which will probably say stage 33 over, you know, over in some direction.

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And maybe there'll be a stage, uh, 35.

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Um, you know, some of these are up to stage 173.

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Um, which probably means they've done 500 little, um, uh, teases of

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land supply that they've released to the market in a certain size.

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And it's certain timing to maximize their profits.

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Now government typically has, um, given, uh, all care and no responsibility.

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They do the rezoning and then no one looks at what actually happens.

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Well, this report goes into it and find some fascinating, um, data

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points there that really expose just how powerful, uh, land bankers are.

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Uh, developers can be.

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Um, and, uh, you know, a couple of, uh, Queensland based, um, developments

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that we studied, uh, with Springfield.

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Um, aura was another one, um, up on, up near Calandra.

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I think Yarrabilba, might've been the other ones.

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So, um, yeah, we looked at nine master plan communities.

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Um, Along the east coast and, uh, yeah, we're, we're really hoping that it, it

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shines a light on what goes on behind that land supply curtain in terms of, um,

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um, supply in a way disappearing when, um, affordability could be delivered.

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So they've got capacity to release this land quicker.

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They can build the dried.

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There are drainage that the curb and channeling the infrastructure, if that's

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not the issue, it's just them deciding to hang on to it and drip feed it out so

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that, well, if they released more of it a lot quicker, just the price would go down.

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Is that, is that essentially?

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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There's certainly problems with the way infrastructure is funding.

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Um, you know, there are problems with the forward planning, um, of, uh,

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growth corridors, but Queensland, um, from 2007 has been really

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vigilant in terms of its, um, its monitoring of these growth corridors.

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And, um, yeah, there's been all sorts of, uh, all sorts of little developments

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within planning to actually, um, To get, uh, to get things organized

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at, at, uh, an appropriate level.

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I'm just pulling up the report now.

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So in 2007, um, Queensland government released a housing affordability

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strategy to ensure that the state's land and housing is on the market quickly.

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And at the lowest cost by 2017, there was a shaping seq report, um, to, uh, help,

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uh, best practice regional planning, um, regarding the monitoring of land

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supply and development in 2018 was the land supply development monitoring

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reports on a very fancy website.

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Um, and in 2021, I growth areas monitoring team was established, but

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if you go through and do a word search on all of these reports, There's a

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stinging criticism of planning and the need to prepare all this supply.

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But you know, this growth areas, monitoring team is not as one question

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on what happens once that rezonings done and how supply might be altered.

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So, um, yeah, I think I'm going to be up for an interesting few weeks, cause

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this report is probably going to stir the hornet's nest and hopefully, um,

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get government thinking, you know, incredibly seriously about this promise.

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We've been told all his supplies gonna make a difference, but look at Springfield

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43,000 lots have prices gone down at all.

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Um, it's staggering.

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When you see the graph, you just can't believe that this has gone on for so long

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and no one's asked questions about it.

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Um, so mean if, if Carl Fitzgerald was in charge of society, then if, if

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a developer benefits from a rezone.

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Then there should be an obligation perhaps to get cracking with the

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development and to do the work and to, and then to sell it off.

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Is that, and not to sit on it is that I can remember my wife's father won a ballot

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for some land up in north Queensland and they used to be these ballots in

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the old days where you could just sort of when land, but part of the deal was

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that you had to undertake certain words.

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Um, within a certain timeframe, I think, uh, as part of the deal.

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So a little bit of that philosophy.

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Well, they have aspects of it.

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And, um, you know, you've got six years to act on your development approval.

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I forgot what they call in Queensland, but you know, there are some limitations,

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but of course, developers have got in there and they get a land tax discount

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if they hold their land, um, in the development pipeline for a set number of

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years, you know, it's, it's almost as if government just turns a blind eye to the

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ever-increasing increase in landfill use.

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Um, you know, thinking that, uh, the developers doing it hard because they've

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got to do a couple of months worth of planning paperwork every few years.

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Right.

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So while they're in the development phase, I get a discount on land tax.

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I didn't know that.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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So I'm been very lucky to be working with, um, Cameron Marie, Dr.

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Cameron Murray.

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Who's one of Queensland's leading progressive economists.

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Um, yeah.

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You'll, you'll have to get him onto your podcast somewhere along the way.

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Cause um, yeah, the two of us have sort of been working in cahoots to try and

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bring this housing supply story to light.

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Um, because you know, everyone's talking about housing supply, but the thing I'm

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actually best known for is, um, measuring.

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Land and housing.

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Yes.

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Please tell that story.

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Yeah.

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So, you know, we've got this housing supply crisis.

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There's probably been 500 press releases over the 18 plus years.

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I've been working in this job and, um, yeah, government does not measure how

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many vacant homes there are on a regular basis until the census comes along.

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And, uh, we get data there that there's some 1.1 million dwellings

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that were not occupied on census night, but there's nothing in between.

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And so when developers get to, uh, carry on about they're being

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recorded, low vacancy levels.

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So we need more housing supply, but then we, we go.

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And, um, when we started this in 2007, the real estate Institute of Victoria,

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we used to get a lot of free press, um, publicizing their vacancy, um, data.

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And we looked at it and that was like, hang on a minute.

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This is a voluntary survey conducted by real estate agents

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who have an incentive to.

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Uh, downplay the role of vacancies.

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So, you know, vacancy happens to increase.

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Ah, I might just miss filling out that survey for the week and this

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creates, uh, a tightening of the drum.

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If you like for all the property lobbyists to play, to say, look,

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there's no, not enough supply.

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We need to keep, uh, we need to resign some of our mates land out there on

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the sprawl, come on, which we can then sit on for a little bit longer.

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Okay.

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So, and enjoy the resigning.

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Windfall is it's a beautiful formula.

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How did you calculate or attempt to calculate this vacancy

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rate that you didn't trust?

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Um, the real estate agents to pro to provide?

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Yeah, well, uh, we did that using, um, water consumption.

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As a proxy for vacancy.

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So abnormally low, um, water consumption and, um, yeah, the, uh, I'm just trying

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to bring this up because, um, yeah, we've got the, um, water bodies providing

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the data for us and, and we analyze properties that use zero liters of

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water, um, or, uh, 50 liters of water.

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And so between those two metrics, we get a top and tail of what

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potentially might be vacant.

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And, uh, from that we need, um, we need to, uh, you know, focus on, on

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why these properties might be vacant.

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And one of our hypotheses has been that, um, that, uh, they're just sitting

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on it, waiting for the capital gains.

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So, um, how did your calculation match up with what the real

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estate industry had been.

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Uh, at least three to four times.

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Ron.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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And then it sort of slightly improved after that the REI stopped doing their

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analysis and, um, Louis Christopher from SQM research, he does a vacancy

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analysis that scrapes the data on real estate listing websites and quantifies.

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Anything that's been on the market for more than three weeks is vacant.

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So that's better, but it still doesn't include all of those properties that

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might be held by an investor might be, um, in part of a legal quagmire,

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um, a family estate being split up.

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None of those are really counted or they're not counted

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in those vacancy numbers.

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So, uh, we don't have a true understanding of how much, um, latent supply there is.

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And when you think that it's costing government, you know, hundreds of

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thousands of dollars per meter of sprawl, To move roads, you know, all

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the, uh, headworks infrastructure, all the community services, everything

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that's required to sprawl, um, costs millions and millions of dollars.

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And, uh, we we've just turned a blind eye to that in preference

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for, um, what we know as, uh, the property owning democracy.

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I think some councils have started charging higher rates.

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Is that right for vacant properties?

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They do, but it's only, you know, a couple of hundred bucks extra a quarter.

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It's not really enough to eat into the, um, eating to the, the, the capital

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gains that are enjoyed each year.

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And so, um, recently I was contacted by, uh, Queensland, uh, a courier male

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journalist who, um, was putting together a report on how 87,000 properties

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around Brisbane were empty as well.

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So we're often, um, getting numbers in between that 60 to 90,000,

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um, sort of property number.

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But we, you know, every now and again, out of the.

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The 15 odd years we've been doing this report.

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We'd see, um, a suburb on the sprawl where there'd be 64.8% of the suburb vacant.

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And, uh, this, um, development outside of Frankston north here in Melbourne, um,

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had, uh, pretty much, uh, let the cat out of the bag by turning the water meters

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on, in one of these developments before, um, they had actually sold the sites.

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And so, um, that had me thinking eight, nine years ago.

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How do we look at all these other vacancies through these giant land banks

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that, um, you know, you can find data that, uh, CU both Queensland and Victoria

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have around about 400,000 lots that have been approved or in the approval process,

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um, to, to feed the, the land banks of the future over the next 15, 18, 20 years.

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Um, yeah.

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How did the census data match up with, with vacancy rates

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and your thoughts on it?

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Did it match up?

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It was a reasonable, um, we've got a new report coming out soon that we'll

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delve further into that, but, um, you know, comparing one census to the

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other, we were, you know, it was always gonna be an interesting one because

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a, so many people were home on census night and be we'd brought back two or

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300,000 ex-pats for, from overseas.

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Um, but yeah, it was interesting to see that that vacancy rates

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were actually down a little bit compared to, um, the 20, was it 2015?

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Um, census.

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So, um, yeah.

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In, in your final podcast, um, you declared a bit of a victory in Victoria.

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Um, uh, some sort of windfall profits tax of some sort and,

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and, uh, the Calico sisters.

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There's a story there.

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I could, could you describe what, what that was.

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Yes.

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Well, the Calico sisters, their father had bought a property up near

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Craigieburn, which is on the edge of Melbourne, um, right off the Hume highway.

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So a pretty good location.

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And, uh, yeah, I think they bought it for a couple of hundred thousand

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dollars in 1974 or something.

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And, um, they sold it to a stock land, I think for $300 million.

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Um, so yeah, it was a massive, massive windfall.

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And, um, we've been looking at, um, the nation's most progressive,

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um, jurisdiction, uh, camp.

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And what the act does.

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There were 75% of that $300,000 minus, you know, 150 odd K um, the purchase price.

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So, you know, basically three quarters of that 300 K would have gone back

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to the government to fund, um, the necessary infrastructure, um, to

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reduce pressure on small business.

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Um, but, uh, yeah, Victoria, um, nowhere else in the country has, um,

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any sort of rezoning, windfall gains tax on their books outside of the act.

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So, yeah, we were, you know, we've always put in our budget submissions

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to the Victorian government and were pleasantly surprised when they finally

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took up, uh, the rezoning windfall gains tax and, uh, put a 50% charge on

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it, but limited it to, um, properties.

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Outside the current growth boundary around Melbourne.

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So they basically set it up for the next generation of land

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bankers, um, to pay a 50% share of the windfall gains they receive.

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And this, this is sort of the triggering things, our land that

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gets resigned and, and then is sold.

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And I have to declare to the state government what the profit was and

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the state government will take her attacks at that point when they sell it.

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That's right.

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And so, um, there were lots of debates about the indexation of that and,

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um, you know, what sort of incentive there could be to help bring some

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of that land supply onto the model?

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Um, but yeah, they, you know, we've got this crazy suburban rail

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loop happening around Melbourne.

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Supposedly there's going to cost, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars,

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but, uh, all the land bankers along that train route have been excused.

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They're going to be able to make their millions.

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Um, we're just about to resign west Melbourne and giant precinct there.

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And all the property owners are going to get this massive, uh, gift there as well.

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And then, uh, probably the same people are going to whinge about having

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to pay too much in payroll tax too much, uh, you know, tolls, whatever.

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It's it's this former protection is, and we have throughout society throughout

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the Westminster system where, you know, property owners are sacrosanct

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and, you know, uh, who cares if my kids live at home till they're 27

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and I have to listen to them shagging through the walls, you know, I'd much

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rather this system it'd be great.

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You know, it's ludicrous there.

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We think this is actually a sound system and, you know, lo and behold, uh, you've

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had floods up there and Brizzy and Lismore's copped it well, and truly, and

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you know, the weight of all this mortgage debt we're carrying is reducing our

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flexibility to be able to deal with the sort of issues that are coming our way.

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Yes.

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Um, just briefly, you've been saying a few times we, and you've been sort of lobbying

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as part of the prosper Australia group.

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Is that right?

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Do you want to just describe, I know you've recently left them.

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You had described what you were doing there and what they do.

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Well, I've got one more week after 18 years at the beloved prosper Australia.

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So, um, yeah, prosper is a 130 year old, uh, NGO that advocates on behalf of the

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teachings of Henry George, who was a famous, uh, classical economist who came

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to Australia in 1890 and, uh, pretty much inspired the, um, free hold title that

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underpins, um, the leasehold title, sorry, that underpins Canberra and the act.

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So, um, he was all about, um, this concept of, uh, incredible progress being

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accompanied by, um, undeniable poverty.

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And why did the two go hand in hand?

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And, um, he was quick to really pick up on what, uh, Adam Smith and David Ricardo

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had said, um, in coded language, but.

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An extra step further by saying, look, you know, why on earth do we penalize workers?

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Why do we penalize traders with all of these tariffs back in those days

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when it's actually those who stole the land from indigenous people,

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um, those who control these natural opportunities that make the easy money.

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And so, uh, you know, we, we, uh, have to protect this land.

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So why don't the people who own the land, pay the, for the governing of the land.

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Um, so, um, so prosper you were with them and you, your role was to advocate.

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So you would lobby, um, different politicians.

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And meet with them and harangue them and, and do all that sort of stuff.

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That was what you did for . Well, yes, along the way.

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Um, there were quite a few other angles, but, um, yeah, I mean, I was the director

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of research for a number of years as well.

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Uh, but essentially we would hold events.

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We would, um, create.

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News based around, um, innovative, um, data analytics to, uh, reveal these

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stories of monopoly and, and help shine a light on these unfair advantages

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that, that property owners, um, enjoy.

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Um, and yeah, back in, uh, 2012.

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Made a documentary called real estate for ransom.

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And in it, we went to one of the master planned communities that inspired

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this latest stage releases report.

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And, uh, talked about some of these staged releasing and you know, how crazy I did.

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We didn't say it, but it was sort of like when you hear the term staged releases

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for someone of our sort of generation, you kind of think back to, um, the Iran

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hostage is scandal, um, in 79 80 and how they doctored the release of all

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of these hostages to coincide with the election and the U S election Reagan,

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um, made a lot of hay out of that one.

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And, you know, here we have with a stage releases, the same sort of thing.

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So, um, yeah, there's always, um, interest from the media when there is

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a, uh, a logical counter story to the way that, um, that, uh, this sort of one

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eyed nature of, of, um, property always, uh, you know, property always winning.

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Um, and, uh, you know, I always liked the question, um, who are

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property rising property prices.

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Good for you to always hear it in the media as if it's a great thing.

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But now after 20 odd years of a housing crisis, we're starting to really see

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the ramifications on over 55, uh, single women and kids, young kids

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and divorce, these it's, um, it's just the, yeah, I think we're finally

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reaching the point where people are understanding to understand that this is.

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Damaging to our society.

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And even the people who are benefiting from benefiting from it.

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I E baby boomers mostly are starting to comprehend that, um, yes, your average

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young person, um, cannot afford to buy a house in the same way that the boomer

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could when they were in their twenties.

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And the statistics are just playing to see if you look at the median house of

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house price and the median wage, and look at the multiple, it's just obvious that,

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um, the numbers don't stack up for people.

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So people it's just starting to turn in the last, literally 12

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months, maybe Carl, where they're starting to go, you know what?

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This is a problem for Australian society, the great Australian dream,

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and having that, that sort of, uh, valuation increase in being happy about.

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And, you know, the courier mail and the newspapers will produce

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reports every six months.

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You know, the Brisbane suburbs that have increased most and, you know,

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look it up and you'll see that your suburbs increase the most and you

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feel happy about it or whatever.

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And yeah, I think people are starting to recognize that this is a genuine problem.

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And, uh, I know, uh, Alan Kohler I'll give this example, Alan Kohler, um,

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ABC finance guy looked at a property that was like seven kilometers from

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the Sydney CBD of a certain standard.

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And then he went online to look in New York for a property, the same distance

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from New York CBD, same sort of property.

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And it was half the price.

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Yeah.

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Well, they also pay a lot more in property taxes over there.

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And so this is, you know, if we can talk a little bit about solutions, this is.

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The, the reality we need to, um, grasp is, you know, we can either pay current

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prices to, um, the banking system, to the previous owner, or we can channel

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some of those payments away from, um, the banking system and towards

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essentially to giving ourselves a tax cut.

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And that's what would happen if we had, um, a much higher reliance on land

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taxes, rather than a stamp duties, B payroll, C income tax, you know, um,

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the company taxes and, uh, yeah, in 2013 I released a report called the

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total resource rents of Australia.

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And, um, you'd think, you know, we're here to protect this land and, and

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govern it and look after it, you'd think you'd know the total value

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of all of our natural endowment.

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Well, um, there's very few economists on the planet who have actually done that

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sort of work to calculate how valuable all of our natural resources are and how much

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do they actually increase in value each.

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So by doing that, I could see that, um, if we had, um, a resource rent on

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our minors, for example, if we had, uh, some sort of licensing fee on our water

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licenses, um, we had, uh, Cybersquatting fees to deters cybersquatters.

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Um, we had a share of the satellite orbit rents that, um, are enjoyed by

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all the telecommunications companies.

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Um, if there was something, you know, we replaced a company taxes for, um,

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TV and radio stations, and again, they had a licensing fee based on the value

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of their, their, um, particular, um, monopolization of that part of the earth.

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Um, they wouldn't have to borrow so much money to buy that asset up from.

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But they would know that have this ongoing fee that they had to pay that

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would rise in value if, uh, some sort of technological development came along.

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So, um, it's, it's staggering that we don't actually have, uh, futurist

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departments within treasury who are looking at what the, the next, um,

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Aspect of privatizing the earth is and preparing the public financing system

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to defend the community from these rent seekers who come in and bribe

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their way into the corridors of power.

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And then, uh, uh, clean up with barely anyone noticing, um, you know, if

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groups like prosper and the Australia Institute and, and people like cam

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Mary, uh, you know, and various other academics, don't talk about it.

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Um, yeah, it should be the bedrock of democratic understanding.

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So we can actually evolve, um, beyond just voting every four years.

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But how.

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Um, as say an, a share in the value of these resources, um, that's equal

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across the board, across generations.

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And from that, uh, you know, we can reduce this reliance on debt and, um,

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the insecurities that are precarious housing situation, um, delivers.

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And, you know, we have little, little, uh, um, examples of this around the world.

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And one of them, um, is what a Republican governor did in, um,

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Alaska in 1974, he set up the Alaska permanent trust fund and, um, scraped

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off a share of oil rents every year.

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And now that's upwards of 40 odd trillion dollars.

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Um, similar thing happens in Norway and, uh, you know, that's only been around for.

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Barely 30 years.

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And again, it's, it's probably over 40, $50 trillion.

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And, uh, in Alaska, everyone gets a roundabout $2,000 a year.

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It does vary, but, um, that money is most welcomed when it comes to paying

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off any short-term debts or catching up on, on a bit of dental work or something

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like that to help, um, people get ahead.

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So how did that get through in Alaska, but we couldn't get the Rudd sorta.

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Windfall resource texts through how come we failed.

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Yeah.

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Well, I was involved in that debate and it was horrifying to say how poli

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labor was advised in terms of its.

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You know, they came out with an asset against them sort of concept rather

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than trying to get the business council of Australia on board, by reducing

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company, Texas by four or 5%, rather than the piddly 2% that they offered.

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Um, and so they, there were left exposed and, uh, who would have thought Gina

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Rinehart, um, stumbling up onto the back of a truck and yelling at ax.

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The techs would become a rallying cry for, um, all these tradies, uh, brought

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up on, um, you know, the, uh, essential dietary fiber that, uh, the mood

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ocracy provides, um, Rupert Murdoch's media, um, brainwashing sort of thing.

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And, uh, you know, as good as Ken Henry is as an economist, um, they didn't have that

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sort of framing side of things together.

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And, um, You know, we then fast forward to the bill short and

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federal election a few years ago.

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And, um, again, it was us and them, and there was no sort of nuance on how to

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bring people along with, um, you know, this necessary reform and what we're

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going to do to actually plicate these vested interests along the way that

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isn't actually going to make it worse.

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Yeah.

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So maybe it's it's, it is a us against them scenario, but the us should have

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included the industrial capitalists who are productive in our community

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and emphasizing that there, there was a really small group of basically

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miners and rather than us being poor everyday working Australians versus

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business in general sort of thing.

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So, yeah.

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Yep.

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Murdoch and, um, you know, I guess it comes down to ice.

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Again, my dinner party arguments with people.

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Cow is, um, people are convinced that billionaires earn their

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wealth, good luck to them.

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They've taken the risk.

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They've worked hard, things have fallen into place.

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And that, that it's theirs to keep all this wealth.

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And, um, there is this idea that, that billionaires earn their billions.

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Is, is it true?

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Do they own their billions?

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Well, uh, some do and you know, companies that have some, you

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know, pure entrepreneurial genius, we love to support that.

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You know, that's part of what Henry George and prosper Australia, um,

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seriously support and, you know, look at the Atlassian, um, boys, um, cannon

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Brooks and Scott Farquhar there.

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Um, obviously amazing coders, really smart individuals, but they were also

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there at just the right time weren't they had perfect timing and, uh, a lot

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of their wealth is based off, um, this orig, you know, the publicly developed

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infrastructure that came out of, uh, us military, um, and, uh, relies on, you

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know, the sanctity of business contracts that are enforced through the public

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court system that then feeds up into, um, uh, the share market and the IPO,

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um, scenario that also is backed up by a system of, um, public, uh, uh, laws.

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And so.

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There's an aspect there where sure they should and good money, they've

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developed great products, but there's also, um, uh, a lot of confidence

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in protection guaranteed for those business activities because of what,

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um, the public legal system does all the way through patents and

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trademarks and copyrights and so forth.

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And so there is a way that we could have a better valuations of those services,

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um, of the benefits they receive and they paid something back for that.

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Um, but you know, I'm, I'm pleased.

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I haven't heard sure they've bought ridiculously overpriced real estate

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and they probably have a big real estate, um, sort of investment stream

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through one of their private trusts.

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Um, but you'd like to think there would be, um, uh, Entrepreneurs out

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there who recognize this unearned income and shied away from it

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because of its its unethical basis.

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Um, you know, it really is, um, a subtle form of, um, of slavery.

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If you like the system we have, where we were up to debt and our

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eyeballs, and we've got no time to think because we're working our

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brains out and, um, yeah, people, uh, really can't think long-term anymore.

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That critical lens is gone.

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And that's part of the reason why podcasts have been so popular is because we're able

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to bring some of these forgotten skills back to the public imagination and, uh,

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yeah, breathe in on all this history.

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That's out.

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Um, I think the Romans used to do a thing where successful generals,

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who would be riding the chariot back into Rome and everyone would be

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throwing confetti at them or whatever.

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Um, there'd be a guy whose job was to stand behind the successful

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general and whisper into his ear.

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Remember, you are butter, man.

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Just to sort of keep the ego in check quickly, billionaires

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need somebody similar.

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Cause I, I would imagine the surrounded by yes.

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And then he tells me how wonderful they are.

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So, uh, yeah.

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That's so, um, so yeah, so there's, there's this sort of a windfall profits

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in, in land we talked about earlier and there's also windfall profits in.

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In, in monopoly, industrial sort of businesses or tech companies, I mean,

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a lot of tech sort of startup stuff.

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The idea is to be the biggest player in that sector that you are so big, that you

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then can repel any potential competition.

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And it's, um, a lot of the super profits come from being so big that

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nobody else can enter the market.

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You know, like Uber's idea was to get in first to be the.

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Uh, company that dominated the market and it would be too

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expensive for others to come in.

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So, um, that's part of our civilization.

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Our commons is, is a recognition that that sort of monopoly is a climb on the

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comments and needs to be accounted for.

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Yeah.

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And one of the classic examples is when Adam, um, apple bought Motorola

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and everyone thought it was a hugely overpriced, uh, two and a half

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billion dollars, something like that.

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And, um, yeah, a couple of months later, the word got out well, what they really

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bought was Motorola's, uh, uh, uh, Thickets that established around all sorts

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of mobile phone and electronic processes.

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And so it was, uh, a form of, uh, market protection and, uh, you know,

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telling this story always takes me back to when I went to interview, uh,

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my old professor, John free Ben and I happened to walk past a brand new

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auditorium near his spanking new office.

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And it was called the center for market design.

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Right.

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And he told me it was for PhD students to study how to erect a monopoly.

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Well, you didn't tell me that, but that was the impression I got, but

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basically how do I a rector, a fence around your particular business?

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So, um, you've faces a little competition as possible.

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So, um, you know, we've really picked the eyes out of where we were going

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in terms of, um, a future where, you know, All of these gadgets.

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We have, you know, in the fifties and sixties, the white goods revolution,

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everyone thought, you know, you'd have all this leisure time at your fingertips, but,

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uh, whilst incredible productivity has been enhanced from that side of things.

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Uh, uh, the F you know, Rockefeller apparently was a really strong

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supporter of, uh, feminism because he, he recognized that having two income

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earners within a household would mean that the land rent, uh, the locational

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value of, uh, someone living in, in a Brisbane would go up and there'd be

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more profits there for the wealthy.

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So, um, because two incomes could pay a higher price purchase price.

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Yeah.

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And there hasn't really been delineated that, you know, it

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used to be one income per house.

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Um, and you do that multiple of incomes to, to household values.

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But as that.

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That share of the workload has, has become more equal.

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Um, yeah, it's, it seems like, um, that's sort of been totally

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understated in, in the way, um, housing affordability is discussed.

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Um, we always hear about negative gearing and capital gains tax, 90, 99.

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Um, the big cuts that, uh, Peter Costello, um, put through, uh, as, as

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driving, um, this, this, uh, incredible windfall that property owners make.

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But yeah, there, there are plenty of other aspects that also add to it,

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but of course that's alongside the liberalization and the banking system

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where we're major players, um, to, to how, uh, we're in this situation now that, so

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Kyle you've got a degree in economics.

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Yes.

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Yup.

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Yup.

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I'm getting the feeling as we both are admirers of, um,

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of professor Michael Hudson.

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And, uh, you know, I'm, I've been reading a lot of economics stuff lately.

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I like reading Yanis Varoufakis and just other ones.

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And it seems the more you read, the more these people are saying that economists

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traditionally, the sort of economics that's taught at university, um, the way

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money is described and how the monetary system works is completely wrong.

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And the training that our economists are getting at university.

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Seems to be way off the mark.

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Do you look back on what you were taught at university?

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And think my God, I was misled badly.

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Yeah, well that, that was the primary purpose of me interviewing John Freeborn

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was to get to that story because in the first semester we were told, you

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know, output equals labor plus capital.

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And in one of the last lessons of my undergraduate degree was, uh, sorry,

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output doesn't equal labor and capital.

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And we can't tell you why.

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And, uh, you know, 10 years later, I discovered Henry George and

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read this incredible book called the corruption of economics by

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Mason Gaffney and Fred Harrison.

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And it went through this period, um, that, and, and talked about, you know,

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the, the, the sense of revolution that was coming, um, with Henry jaw.

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Um, out and about, you know, really breaking down the economic story.

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So the everyday person could understand it.

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Um, and, uh, yeah, they were like, heck we need a diversion plan to come up here.

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So, um, they figured out that let's get rid of land and hide it in capital is

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if capital already owns the earth and only concentrate on labor and capital

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is the two major factors of production.

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And so, um, the, the influence of land and, um, the ever-present, uh,

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property bubbles seem to wipe out, uh, economies around the world about

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every 18 years or so, um, is, is pretty much hidden in the background.

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And, uh, we're left with, um, this seemingly ever more complex mathematical,

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um, formulas that, uh, we just, uh, We, you know, people finish their economics

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degree going well, what the hell?

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What, what uses is doesn't tell me anything about the real world.

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Um, but I used to love getting people, uh, thinking as I'd be podcasting and, you

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know, from a conference somewhere around Australia or somewhere overseas, and you

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can just basically walk the streets once you understand the story and see, oh, yep.

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Here's the hipster suburb.

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Um, I, uh, there's a new infrastructure going past there,

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out to the next sort of, uh, wow.

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Is that where all the cool graffiti is and where all the

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good music venues are out there?

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Ah, God, I bet you that's where all the property investors are.

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And you know, now they're doing that from their phone using, um,

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Uh, software packages, algorithms that plug in the latest demographic

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trends, uh, local employment rates, new infrastructure plans, uh, you

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know, rezoning capacities that they've got so many metrics coming in.

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Um, and then from this stage releases report, we're imagining, they've also

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got the days on market, the age of stock, um, the auction clearance rates, the, um,

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first home buyers, uh, lending conditions.

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All of these factors would feed in to what they're doing and give,

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um, a hotspot for where to invest.

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And, um, one of the great tragedies, uh, Yeah.

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I decided to keep positive in my last podcast show, uh,

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for the Renegade economists.

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Um, but yeah, we had this rezoning windfall gains tax legislation go

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through, but, um, it was only in the last few days we recognize that tacked

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onto the back end of that legislation was a giant handout to wall street.

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So we've got this whole phenomena of housing supply and then

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there's no housing supply.

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We need more capital, we need more investment.

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We need more big money.

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And so wall street, post GFC decided we've already locked up the mortgage market.

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Why don't we design a form of securitization to

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corporatize the rental market.

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So that's, what's been happening in the Northern hemisphere and,

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uh, Scoma went over to England and came back or breathless

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about this concept called build.

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Yep.

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And so build to rent is, um, is big capital coming in and, uh,

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basically, uh, setting up PropTech so you can rent from your landlord.

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And, um, you know, there's some advantages to that, but there's also apparently quite

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a few examples of data scraping going on and sort of a bit of eavesdropping

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through those apps where there.

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Pretty much figuring out what your financial situation is and, uh,

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starting to, um, move towards a system where rents will be based on, you

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know, your fullest capacity to pay.

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So with this, um, build to rent legislation, they gave wall

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street, um, a 50% discount on their land taxes, but didn't put any.

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Um, uh, affordability thresholds in place to ensure that it's each

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property, you know, each developments at least 90% occupied that, you know,

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um, there is, uh, some affordable housing within that development.

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None of those metrics we'll put in there.

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So it's sort of all faith in the market.

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And as we've seen with this reliance on, on housing supply, just like we saw

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with the reliance on another form of supply side, thinking that was known

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as trickle down economics, um, really it it's generally set up to, uh, hold

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advantage for those in the know, um, for the top end of town, rather than

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providing a bit of balance so that we all get some returns from this public policy.

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So, so in the Northern hemisphere, sort of big corporates are getting into

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owning residential property to rent.

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Yeah, what's happening and then getting a bunch of it together and

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then securitizing that and on selling it and refashioning it and molding it.

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But, but that hasn't happened yet here as it hasn't yet here.

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Um, uh, there's a company called Blackstone capital and Stephen Schwarzman,

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um, uh, uh, paraded through the country in about 2018 and had a full page ads in all

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the major papers, talking about Blackstone and, uh, left the country saying, look,

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uh, yeah, just the way things are set up.

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There's no way we could make this work.

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And, uh, this was from a guy who's earning $800 million a year.

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Right.

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Why couldn't it work?

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Why couldn't they make it work here?

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Well, because of their progressive land tax rate.

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So the more, the more land they would own, the higher that land

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tax bracket they would be in.

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And from that, um, there would a be some pressure on them to put those properties

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on the market at the market price rather than at the monopolist price.

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So, um, yeah, you know, during the GFC, during the COVID crisis during lockdown,

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uh, As a thousands and thousands of properties that would just pulled from

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the rental Mack and then left vacant, um, to put a price floor in place to

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ensure that rents really didn't, um, plummet and, uh, apartment prices

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in the CBDs, uh, here, um, uh, fall.

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So that's where a lantex comes in.

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It, it keeps the property market honest.

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It ensures that, um, there's some economic day-to-day economic reasoning

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behind the use of that resource, rather than this long-term power

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play to orchestrate the supplies.

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So profits are maximized, right?

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And it kicks in at a level that a big corporation like that

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would have felt the pain of it.

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Whereas it doesn't kick in.

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Well, as you said, land developers get a.

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And amnesty while they're in the development stage, so, okay.

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That'll make sense.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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It's a sad, it's a sad story.

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Uh, dear.

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So Carl, um, w we'll sort of head towards the finish line here, so

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you've got this report coming out.

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That's hopefully you'll get some traction and you'll be interviewed

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and you know, you're going to appear on Q and a and things like that,

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perhaps leaving fingers crossed, but maybe you're going to do, uh, what's.

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What's your plan after that?

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Is that the answer?

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What's your, what are you doing now?

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Well, uh, my wife and I, um, bought this property up, uh, near mom's

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Brie in central Victoria near.

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Um, Castlemaine sort of region, hoping to establish what's

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called a community land trust.

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And this is, um, a system where the rising value of location is kept within

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the community to pay off the debts of, of establishing, um, the site.

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And then, yeah, we'll have this surplus, if you like that, we can invest in our

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own, um, social venture here on the land, um, whilst, uh, enabling, um,

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steady, secure, uh, and affordable.

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So, you know, I imagine two thirds of your mortgage or rental payment, going back to

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a community, um, of people you're, you're involved in and, uh, acting responsibly

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to pay off debts and then using that money for good things, your community needs.

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So this is a housing model that has been, um, very popular overseas.

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And the UK has gone from two to 400 plus CLTs, um, post global financial

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crisis in America during the GFC, um, CLTs had a foreclosure rate that

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was 94% lower than the wider market.

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And so it's a lot more stable because it removes that speculative

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component from housing and actually provides affordable support.

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Rather than, um, supply the highest possible cost.

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So, uh, yeah, I'm in the process of establishing a new board, um,

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our, uh, our NGO's, uh, called grounded, grounded land advocacy.

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So, um, yeah, I'm very lucky to have some of the leading academics in the

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country involved in that some great advocates and, uh, yeah, very, uh, uh,

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useful and important philanthropists.

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So it doesn't involve, uh, people making a donation of land.

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They own to a trust which has rules then about the ongoing use of the land.

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Is that what it's, is it philanthropic donation and then rules about

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use and eventual profit sharing?

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Is that yeah.

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Involves somebody being a philanthropist.

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And giving you something in the beginning.

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Is that, is that not always, I mean, council has a lot of surplus

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land, so we're working with some councils to identify that and

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marry them up with ethical finance.

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Um, the plan is to know how to make this work.

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Um, yeah, but, uh, essentially what it is is that the trust will own the land

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and the resident will own the house.

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So you only have to borrow 30, maybe 40% of your typical mortgage for

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the improvements for the building.

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And then, um, you pay, um, either a yearly Landlease or a, a resale

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formula when you leave, um, the community, um, later on down the track.

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So by doing that, um, yeah, the, the pressures of, of, uh, meeting a typical

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market rent, uh, much, much lower.

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And, you know, the beauty of living in an intentional community

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is usually there'll be someone who's, um, you know, a great cook.

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Another person is into bulk buying or someone who's perhaps a, a bit of an

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architect or a draftsman, and there'll be a, hopefully a financial plan.

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Who can help everyone get their finances in order.

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And so my dream is, you know, to help, uh, you know, kids in their, their

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mid twenties to mid thirties who lose that last decade, um, of rentals to

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be part of a CLT where their rental stream goes towards, uh, uh, funding,

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the small business opportunities for them to, uh, to get going.

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And, you know, of course in that mix, you'd have the, the age split.

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So where there may well be, um, you know, over 50 years

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over 55, uh, involved as well.

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So, um, yeah, you know, there's so much, you know, we have this show in Australia

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called neighbors, but, um, so, so few of us actually know our neighbors.

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Yep.

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Um, but where do you do get to know them and figure out what they're good

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at and what you're good at and how you can work together to make things happen?

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Um, you know, you wonder why there, isn't more of this going on.

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And when you look at the way the, the housing economic side of things

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set up, the, the whole, uh, planning legislation, the financing, you know,

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there's, there's a lot of hurdles put in place to kind of keep channeling people

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into this, uh, you know, master planned community kind of system, um, that the big

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developers have rather than, um, seeing housing as a fundamental human right.

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And, um, setting up all of the, the legislation to support, um, uh, that

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primary obligation, the government should have to their citizens.

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One of the silver linings of the whole COVID pandemic has been, the white

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people have, um, looked a fresh at their lifestyles and what was just assumed

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to always be there's no other option.

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I must live in the suburbs and I must commute for over an hour each way into

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the city and do the same on the way back.

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People have stopped and looked and gone well for start, you know, they were

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forced to stay at home and then they thought T I actually quite like this.

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And then they managed to, you know, keep it up where they

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can get two or three days.

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And then really people are starting to examine, how can I make it five days?

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How can I actually get out of this permanently?

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So maybe your timing is good in a sense, the pandemic is.

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I think, um, for people thinking about the possibilities and that there are other

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options otherwise of living out there.

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So yeah.

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Yeah.

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The blinkers have come down for a little while and you know, where we'd like

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to think that somewhere along the way, the, um, the cards would fall on the

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community's side at the table, but, uh, uh, one of the things I've I've do,

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you know, I kind of kind of call it.

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Um, grand final day for land economists is when the national accounts are

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released in, um, late October and, uh, the system, a national accounts,

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the abs 5, 2 0 4 tables, 61 is the one that values Australia's land.

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And we're one of only two or three countries in the world.

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That separate the land from the buildings.

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And, you know, this is so fundamental to understanding this unearned income aspect.

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And, uh, I did the numbers.

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I put the op-ed out there saying, wow, uh, 20, 20, 20, the financial

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year, 20, 20, 21, I was estimating that we would actually surpass, um,

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2017 where, uh, land prices increased by $683.5 billion in a single year.

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And I was like, Well, as a total, it increased by 683 billion.

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I think it was around about a 7 billion, a trillion dollars in total there.

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Um, and I said, well, that financial year it's going to be

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worth about $700 billion increase.

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Well, it turned out with all of the, um, job seeker and job keeper payments,

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and then, um, home builder, uh, that I was a full $1 trillion short of what

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actually happened straight in land prices increased by $1.7 trillion and not one

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news agency picked up our press release.

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Yes.

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Yep.

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Yep.

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Like killed me.

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Yeah.

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Yeah.

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Okay.

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All right.

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Well, that's been great cow.

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That's been a really good sort of, uh, overview of, of land and

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property and monopoly and, and some solutions mixed in amongst there.

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And for a guy who's been out of podcasting for a few months, you've slipped back

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into the saddle as if you were never away.

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So I really appreciate it.

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And if you've got any more scoops or you just, um, have, uh, an itch that

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you need to scratch and get behind the microphone, um, just give me a buzz.

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You're welcome back at any time.

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Yeah.

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Well, I'd love to give you an update in another year to see how we're

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grounded is going and see how many, um, working, um, community groups will

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have helped get up and over the line.

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Cause that's really our aim.

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There's a lot of interesting groups around who are trying to

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get some form of community led housing up as an alternative.

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You know that there have been a few groups, uh, trying to, trying to help

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them, but we're hoping within the community land trust space, we can make

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a difference so that, um, you know, often you hear these community groups

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having a five or 10 years worth of meetings and not owning any land and

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just watching their deposit gap, keep expanding and just pulling their hair.

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So, um, hopefully we can, um, work together as a bit of a network to,

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um, marry up all the people, trying to do good things, um, from various

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perspectives and get some economies of scale moving forward so that, uh,

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people can have hope, um, in, in life.

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Again, it feels like there's, uh, a lot of frustration out there.

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And, um, I, you know, when you think of how much financial pain we all

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have, um, paying our weekly rents their mortgages, um, just to get to channel

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some of that pain into a 20, 30 minutes a week, studying some of these plastic,

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uh, economic stories and principles.

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Really understanding the rules of economic engagement.

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Um, it would make life easier and we'd be able to hold our public representatives

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to account, uh, more easily, uh, yeah.

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Great to see Eddie.

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Oh, bead finally getting done again with more and more pressure.

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You know, one of the Archer rent seekers, uh, across water, across lacing, across

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mining, across land, he had the playbook from Annapolis and he got busted.

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So they don't all get away with it.

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Yeah.

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So where do people go if they want to keep track of what

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you're doing with this venture?

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What's a website or Facebook.

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What's what, where should they look to keep track of what you're doing?

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It's old, totally fresh.

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So it's going to be, um, grounded.org dot a.

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And, uh, at a sharing on Twitter, I'm on LinkedIn, Carl Fitzgerald, and, uh,

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yeah, generally around and about, uh, I'll still be riding our PIDs, um, here,

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there, and everywhere, and trying to get, um, more people to recognize that,

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you know, another world is possible.

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'cause when you, Carl, I'm going to end this recording now

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and thank you for your time.

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Thanks Carl.

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The Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove
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