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Episode 446 - How Notebook LM struggled with my essay on World Politics

Using Notebook LM to convert an essay into a podcast, the show addresses U.S. foreign policy, China’s rise, and speculative scenarios involving geopolitical shifts. The AI-generated discussion critiques the U.S.’s historical global influence, highlights China's strategic economic planning, and explores potential impacts of a diminished U.S. role on international security. The episode raises questions about AI's influence in shaping narratives and encourages critical thinking about global politics and future world order.

00:00 Introduction: Setting the Stage for a Global Review

00:30 A Unique Episode: Exploring AI-Generated Content

02:48 Foreign Affairs Summary: A Critical Perspective

08:06 The AI Podcast: Unveiling Hidden Biases

08:50 Deep Dive: U.S. Foreign Policy and Global Dynamics

11:23 China's Rise: A New Global Power

12:46 Speculations on the Future: U.S. Dollar and Global Shifts

15:51 A Hopeful Outlook: Global Cooperation and Change

20:35 Conclusion: Reflecting on AI and Global Politics

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Transcripts started in episode 324. You can use this link to search our transcripts. Type "iron fist velvet glove" into the search directory, click on our podcast and then do a word search. It even has a player which will play the relevant section. It is incredibly quick.

Transcript
Morgan:

We need to talk about ideas, good ones and bad ones.

Morgan:

We need to learn stuff about the world.

Morgan:

We need an honest, intelligent, thought provoking and entertaining

Morgan:

review of what the hell happened on this planet in the last seven days.

Morgan:

We need to sit back and listen to the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove.

Trevor:

Hello, dear listener.

Trevor:

This episode is a little bit different.

Trevor:

It's a short one for starters.

Trevor:

I'm away on holidays somewhere on Magnetic Island and I pre

Trevor:

recorded this one for you.

Trevor:

So I had previously written down a little foreign affairs summary in my notes which

Trevor:

I was going to go through at some point.

Trevor:

And then I heard about this um, sort of app or program called

Trevor:

Notebook LM where you could give it.

Trevor:

an essay and it would generate two people talking in a

Trevor:

podcast format about the essay.

Trevor:

So basically I uploaded the document to Notebook LM and uh, got

Trevor:

a little 12 minute podcast back.

Trevor:

So what I'm going to do is read to you 694 word essay that I uploaded and then

Trevor:

I'll play the podcast which Notebook LM produced and a couple of things about it.

Trevor:

One is, of course, American accents and just the Gee whiz golly gosh.

Trevor:

Um, Niceties of American Culture has crept into the Generated Podcast,

Trevor:

which is sort of an NPR type feel to it, which I just don't like.

Trevor:

But then the other thing that really got me was, I made the

Trevor:

briefest of mentions about Israel.

Trevor:

And it's as if the AI robots were personally offended and thought my

Trevor:

essay was very dangerous as a result.

Trevor:

And I just thought this was interesting because more and more people are

Trevor:

going to use AI to generate content.

Trevor:

And if the algorithms and the software is directed in a way to nudge and format

Trevor:

content in a certain way, then that's a type of bias that's being introduced.

Trevor:

And, well, I'll read the essay, I'll play what was produced.

Trevor:

And you think about whether there was any sort of unusual bias imposed, or

Trevor:

maybe it's just me and I'm, I just don't like criticism, even when it

Trevor:

comes from a robot, but uh, anyway.

Trevor:

This is what I gave it, the title, My Foreign Affairs Summary.

Trevor:

In summary, It should be obvious to everyone that we are making big mistakes.

Trevor:

Post World War II, we sucked up to the USA, hoping to earn brownie points

Trevor:

in case we ever needed their help.

Trevor:

We joined them in ill fated wars, and we supported their position on

Trevor:

almost every foreign policy issue.

Trevor:

US foreign policy purported to be about promoting democracy and the rules

Trevor:

based order, but it was really about forcing smaller countries to open their

Trevor:

economies So big American multinational companies could exploit them.

Trevor:

Its first preference was to use the IMF and the World Bank to force

Trevor:

neoliberal policies, cut tariff protection, sell public infrastructure,

Trevor:

allow foreign investment, see Shock Doctrine by Naomi Klein, and

Trevor:

various Latin American countries.

Trevor:

Failing that, it would use sanctions to create economic chaos.

Trevor:

And then get the CIA to initiate internal revolutions against failing governments.

Trevor:

See, All the Shah's Men by Stephen Kinzer, or Ukraine and now Georgia.

Trevor:

An assassination, Patrice Mbambe, the Prime Minister of the Democratic

Trevor:

Republic of Congo, or an invasion would be the next options.

Trevor:

Why did voters not punish this behaviour?

Trevor:

The USA could avoid domestic opposition by confusing and distracting the

Trevor:

population through propaganda.

Trevor:

Western allies kept their populations in check with the same propaganda.

Trevor:

Invariably, the USA used the pretense of protecting democracy.

Trevor:

Invariably, it had nothing to do with democracy and everything to

Trevor:

do with installing governments that would be favourable to the USA.

Trevor:

Mainstream press required advertising revenue from big multinationals.

Trevor:

Wars generate extra readers and viewers.

Trevor:

Media barons have investments in businesses that benefit from this

Trevor:

system of enforced neoliberalism.

Trevor:

So mainstream press was on board.

Trevor:

Left wing press was underfunded by right wing governments.

Trevor:

and cowered into submitting to the right wing agenda.

Trevor:

Senior staff left in disgust, junior staff need the money and are distracted

Trevor:

by social justice identity issues and ignorant of the foreign policy

Trevor:

propaganda they have swallowed.

Trevor:

So, if left wing press wasn't on board, it was at least acquiescent.

Trevor:

Right wing politicians fully believe the Western foreign policy propaganda

Trevor:

and rely on the political donations.

Trevor:

Left wing politicians Mostly believe the propaganda as well, but also don't

Trevor:

want to be wedged on strongman defence posturing, so they fall into line.

Trevor:

Our military leaders are incentivised to beat up the risk of military

Trevor:

threats and acquiesce to US infiltration of our defence service.

Trevor:

Any officer who objects to that system will not be promoted.

Trevor:

That leaves only small, financially independent media groups to

Trevor:

call out what is happening.

Trevor:

Most voters don't have the time to seek them out and keep up.

Trevor:

They will find time when it's too late.

Trevor:

Meanwhile, our ally, the United States, is a psychopathic bully who

Trevor:

has been deftly outmaneuvered by China.

Trevor:

The fire sector, finance, investment, real estate, has

Trevor:

white anted the American economy.

Trevor:

China now leads on production of technology and real things.

Trevor:

China refused IMF and World Bank overtures.

Trevor:

It protected its infant industries and kept foreigners out.

Trevor:

It retained government ownership of banking, and refused to bail out

Trevor:

financiers and real estate speculators.

Trevor:

It is too big and too successful, and with like minded allies, it

Trevor:

is impervious to US sanctions.

Trevor:

It is also impervious to assassinations and invasions.

Trevor:

Australia should recognise that it has nothing to fear and much

Trevor:

to learn from China and the new multipolar world that is emerging.

Trevor:

Unfortunately, it will probably take severe hardship to change that mindset.

Trevor:

It's unlikely that a charismatic pro China politician could emerge

Trevor:

out of our current major parties.

Trevor:

Although the Greens offer some hope.

Trevor:

The final collapse will come when the world recognises the

Trevor:

weakness of the US dollar.

Trevor:

Its collapse will send the US into chaos and the union will break up.

Trevor:

Hopefully the world will only offer assistance if the US

Trevor:

decommissions its nuclear bombs.

Trevor:

The biggest issue facing the world now is how to deal with the

Trevor:

post, with post revolutionary USA.

Trevor:

When the USA is officially in a mess, Arab countries will

Trevor:

take vengeance against Israel.

Trevor:

It will be wiped out.

Trevor:

So there you go, dear listener.

Trevor:

That was the text, and here is what was generated.

Female Robot:

I forget the feeling we're only getting, like, the edited

Female Robot:

highlights of global politics, like the real story, the real levers of power.

Female Robot:

They're hidden somewhere in the footnotes.

Male Robot:

Hmm.

Male Robot:

I know what you mean.

Female Robot:

Well, today's Deep Dive, we're going full on conspiracy

Female Robot:

theorist, unearthing those footnotes.

Female Robot:

That's intriguing.

Female Robot:

We've got the source, right.

Female Robot:

And it's not exactly shy about making waves.

Female Robot:

Yeah.

Female Robot:

Yeah.

Female Robot:

They basically come right out and call the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

a psychopathic bully.

Male Robot:

Wow, strong words.

Female Robot:

No kidding.

Female Robot:

They suggest China's playing a whole different game, a much

Female Robot:

longer one, and then they go even further, hinting at a potential U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

collapse.

Male Robot:

Okay, now I have to know more.

Male Robot:

Where do they even begin?

Female Robot:

So they really dig into U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

foreign policy, especially the period after World War II.

Female Robot:

All that talk we hear about Spreading democracy,

Female Robot:

maintaining a rules based order.

Male Robot:

Right, right.

Female Robot:

This source says it's a smokescreen.

Male Robot:

Interesting.

Male Robot:

They think there's something else going on beneath the surface.

Female Robot:

Exactly.

Female Robot:

They believe the real motive has always been economic.

Female Robot:

Get this.

Female Robot:

They claim the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

pressures smaller countries, forces them to open up their markets,

Female Robot:

also big corporations, Can swoop in and rake in the profits.

Male Robot:

Well, it's true that economic interests in foreign

Male Robot:

policy, they often go hand in hand.

Male Robot:

You look at institutions like the International Monetary

Male Robot:

Fund, the World Bank.

Male Robot:

They were designed to, you know, stabilize the global economy, but

Male Robot:

they've also faced a lot of criticism.

Female Robot:

Oh, absolutely.

Female Robot:

For

Male Robot:

pushing policies that seem to benefit wealthy

Male Robot:

nations more than developing ones.

Male Robot:

It's a complicated issue.

Male Robot:

And

Female Robot:

the source They don't stop there.

Female Robot:

They go on to suggest that the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

might resort to some pretty extreme tactics to get their way.

Male Robot:

What do they have in mind?

Female Robot:

We're talking sanctions to destabilize countries that don't

Female Robot:

play ball, backing coups even, and they actually write this, assassination.

Female Robot:

They point to events in Latin America, the Middle East, as examples of this

Female Robot:

kind of interventionist approach.

Male Robot:

It's true that the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

has been involved in regime change efforts throughout history.

Male Robot:

No question.

Male Robot:

And those interventions often had significant lasting consequences.

Male Robot:

Right.

Male Robot:

You look back at U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

involvement in Latin America during the Cold War, and just to clarify,

Male Robot:

that was this period of intense geopolitical tension between the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

and the Soviet Union.

Male Robot:

The U.

Male Robot:

S., they often supported authoritarian regimes that were seen as, you

Male Robot:

know, favorable to their interests, even if it meant undermining

Male Robot:

democratically elected governments.

Male Robot:

Yeah.

Female Robot:

It's wild.

Female Robot:

And this source argues that it's not just actions abroad.

Female Robot:

They say the American public, we've been kept in the dark about all of this, they

Female Robot:

claim it's been this calculated campaign of propaganda, media manipulation, and

Female Robot:

let's not forget about the influence of money in politics, to silence any

Female Robot:

dissent or alternative viewpoints.

Male Robot:

Controlling information is incredibly powerful, no doubt about it.

Male Robot:

And, it's fair to say, The U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

has used media narratives to shape public opinion on foreign policy.

Male Robot:

I mean, you think about the lead up to the Iraq war.

Female Robot:

Oh, absolutely.

Female Robot:

The

Male Robot:

Bush administration really made their case for intervention

Male Robot:

based on claims of weapons of mass destruction, which, as we know,

Female Robot:

So we're supposed to believe that the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

has been calling the shots on the world stage for decades, pulling

Female Robot:

strings, manipulating economies, all that, and then the source makes

Female Robot:

this really interesting pivot.

Female Robot:

They argue that China's been watching this whole time.

Female Robot:

They saw right through it.

Female Robot:

And instead of playing along, they chose a different game entirely.

Male Robot:

You know, China's rise is fascinating.

Male Robot:

It really is a different approach.

Male Robot:

They resisted opening up their economy too quickly, they prioritized

Male Robot:

domestic growth, and they've been very careful about controlling

Male Robot:

foreign influence, whether it was a deliberate counter strategy to the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

or just, you know, them acting in their own best interest.

Male Robot:

That's up for debate.

Female Robot:

Well, this source, they see it as a calculated move.

Female Robot:

They claim China basically said thanks, but no thanks to the whole

Female Robot:

IMF loan, massive foreign investment thing, opted instead to build up

Female Robot:

their own industries, keep tight government control over their economy.

Male Robot:

And you can't deny.

Male Robot:

That approach has gotten results.

Male Robot:

China's economic transformation has been astounding.

Male Robot:

They're a global powerhouse now.

Female Robot:

Exactly.

Female Robot:

And because of that, the source argues all those old U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

tactics, sanctions, political maneuvering that just won't work on China anymore.

Female Robot:

They're too big to push around.

Male Robot:

There's this idea gaining traction now about a

Male Robot:

multipolar world where power isn't concentrated in just one nation.

Male Robot:

And as other centers of power emerge, the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

's ability to, you know, dictate global affairs, it lessens.

Male Robot:

We're seeing it play out in trade negotiations, the

Male Robot:

formation of new alliances.

Male Robot:

It's a shifting landscape.

Female Robot:

Okay, get ready for this.

Female Robot:

This is probably the wildest claim this whole piece makes.

Male Robot:

Man, me with it.

Female Robot:

They predict that the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

dollar.

Female Robot:

Done.

Female Robot:

Finished.

Female Robot:

They're talking about a to its breakup.

Male Robot:

It's certainly a dramatic scenario, there's no doubt about that.

Male Robot:

It's important to remember that predicting something as complex as the collapse of

Male Robot:

a global currency, incredibly difficult.

Male Robot:

However, the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

dollar's dominance, it's facing some serious challenges

Male Robot:

that we haven't seen before.

Female Robot:

Like what, specifically?

Male Robot:

Well, you've got the rise of alternative currencies, the growing U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

debt, and more and more countries are increasingly

Male Robot:

willing to trade outside the U.

Male Robot:

S.

Male Robot:

dollar system.

Male Robot:

All of that contributes to the uncertainty.

Female Robot:

It's like a domino effect, almost.

Male Robot:

In a way, yes.

Female Robot:

And it gets even wilder.

Female Robot:

They go on to speculate about how the world might react to a weakened America.

Female Robot:

They think other countries, They'd only offer help, only step in, if the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

agreed to completely dismantle its nuclear arsenal.

Male Robot:

Wow.

Male Robot:

The idea of a world having to deal with a diminished America, potentially an

Male Robot:

unstable one, that's a sobering thought.

Male Robot:

Makes you really question global security, existing alliances,

Male Robot:

the whole nature of international cooperation as it exists now.

Male Robot:

It's uncharted territory.

Female Robot:

And if all that wasn't enough to wrap our heads around,

Female Robot:

this source throws in one more incredibly charged prediction, and

Female Robot:

this one's, well, it's a bit jarring.

Male Robot:

You're killing me with the suspense, go on.

Female Robot:

They suggest that if the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

were to actually falter on the world stage, some actors might see it as

Female Robot:

an opportunity to settle old scores.

Male Robot:

Oh, I see where this is going.

Female Robot:

They specifically point to Israel.

Female Robot:

They suggest that if the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

is no longer there to back them up, Israel could face existential

Female Robot:

threats from neighboring countries.

Male Robot:

This is where the analysis veers into highly speculative territory.

Male Robot:

Some might even say it's inflammatory.

Male Robot:

Shifts in the geopolitical landscape, they always create ripple effects, uncertainty,

Male Robot:

but singling out a specific nation like that as being, you know, uniquely at

Male Robot:

risk that relies on a lot of assumptions and potentially limited information.

Male Robot:

It's crucial to approach pronouncements like that with a lot of caution.

Male Robot:

It's interesting you use the word opportunity because when I read

Male Robot:

this, I got the sense That they see this shift away from a US

Male Robot:

dominated world is a good thing.

Male Robot:

Yeah, like a world without one superpower calling all the shots

Male Robot:

would be better for everyone.

Male Robot:

Maybe.

Male Robot:

But the big question is what that transition looks like.

Male Robot:

Peaceful and cooperative or full of conflict and instability.

Female Robot:

Right.

Female Robot:

Because it's not like China has the cleanest track record.

Female Robot:

I mean, think about human rights and their own foreign policy decisions.

Female Robot:

Not exactly a simple swap from one benevolent superpower to another.

Male Robot:

You're right, we can't just swap one hegemon for another.

Male Robot:

Ideally, we'd move to a system that's actually more just and

Male Robot:

sustainable for everybody.

Male Robot:

You know, one that puts things like cooperation, understanding, respect for

Male Robot:

different cultures and perspectives first.

Female Robot:

That's the dream.

Female Robot:

A lot easier said than done, don't you think?

Female Robot:

If there's one thing this deep dive has shown me, it's

Female Robot:

that the world is complicated.

Male Robot:

Absolutely.

Male Robot:

And that's probably the most important takeaway here.

Male Robot:

To even start to understand these complicated issues,

Male Robot:

we need to embrace nuance.

Male Robot:

We have to challenge our assumptions and look for different perspectives.

Female Robot:

Okay, well, after all that doom and gloom, is

Female Robot:

there any room for optimism?

Female Robot:

Can we end this on a positive note?

Male Robot:

There's always hope.

Male Robot:

Human history has tons of stories about innovation, adaptation,

Male Robot:

and cooperation in the face of what seemed like impossible odds.

Female Robot:

Give me some specifics.

Female Robot:

What gives you hope?

Female Robot:

Any positive signs you're seeing?

Male Robot:

One of the most encouraging things I've seen

Male Robot:

is that people are starting to understand that we're all connected.

Male Robot:

They realize that these big challenges we face, like climate change, inequality,

Male Robot:

global health crises, these aren't just problems for one country to solve.

Male Robot:

They affect everybody and need everyone to work together.

Female Robot:

So more people are waking up to the fact that we're all

Female Robot:

in this together, and that's good.

Male Robot:

Yes.

Male Robot:

Global citizenship isn't some idealistic fantasy anymore.

Male Robot:

It's becoming a necessity.

Male Robot:

And with that change, there's huge potential for new ways to

Male Robot:

cooperate and solve problems.

Male Robot:

Ways that don't need the same old power structures.

Female Robot:

Okay, I like where you're going with this.

Female Robot:

So let's say we make it through this transition without destroying ourselves.

Female Robot:

What kind of world do you see coming out on the other side?

Female Robot:

Give us a picture of that optimistic future.

Male Robot:

Imagine a world where international relations isn't just about

Male Robot:

one country winning and another losing.

Male Robot:

What if we focused on solutions that benefit everyone?

Male Robot:

What if global institutions like the UN were actually democratic and represented

Male Robot:

everyone they're supposed to serve?

Female Robot:

I'm listening.

Male Robot:

What if we use diplomacy and conflict resolution

Male Robot:

instead of military intervention?

Male Robot:

Imagine if we actually tackled climate change and poverty together, as a

Male Robot:

global community, putting aside our own interests for the greater good.

Female Robot:

Now those are some headlines I could get behind.

Female Robot:

But let's be real, how realistic is any of that?

Female Robot:

Are we talking about impossible pie in the sky idealism here?

Male Robot:

It's not just wishful thinking.

Male Robot:

These changes are starting to happen, even if they're slow and there's resistance.

Male Robot:

It's like planting seeds for a better world.

Male Robot:

Now we need to help them grow.

Female Robot:

That's a really great image.

Female Robot:

It reminds me of that Margaret Mead quote, Never doubt that a small

Female Robot:

group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world.

Female Robot:

Indeed, it's the only thing that ever has.

Male Robot:

Powerful stuff.

Male Robot:

And, you know, in a world that's more interconnected than ever,

Male Robot:

through technology, through these huge global challenges, that small

Male Robot:

group, it can become a huge GE group.

Female Robot:

So it's not about waiting around for some perfect

Female Robot:

utopia to magically appear.

Female Robot:

It's about each of us actually doing something, taking action

Female Robot:

to build the world we want.

Male Robot:

Exactly.

Male Robot:

We're not just watching this happen, we're part of it.

Male Robot:

We have the power to change the narrative, to choose the kind

Male Robot:

of future we want to live in.

Female Robot:

You know, I was feeling pretty freaked out after

Female Robot:

the first part of this deep dive, but I'm feeling a little better now.

Male Robot:

Glad to hear it.

Female Robot:

But before we wrap up, I have to ask about that last

Female Robot:

prediction, the one about Israel and the potential threats if the U.

Female Robot:

S.

Female Robot:

declines.

Female Robot:

It just felt so out of left field.

Male Robot:

Yeah, that one definitely stood out.

Male Robot:

It plays on some really deep anxieties, especially in a region

Male Robot:

that's already so volatile.

Male Robot:

But we have to remember, it's just one person's interpretation.

Male Robot:

of these really complex events and that interpretation, inevitably colored by

Male Robot:

their own biases, their own perspectives.

Male Robot:

So

Female Robot:

don't dismiss it entirely, but maybe take it with a grain of salt.

Male Robot:

Exactly.

Male Robot:

Don't just take their word for it.

Male Robot:

What are their motivations?

Male Robot:

Are there other points of view from people who really know

Male Robot:

that region and its history?

Male Robot:

It's so easy to get caught up in fear mongering.

Male Robot:

Especially these days.

Male Robot:

But we have to look at those kinds of claims with a critical eye, really try to

Male Robot:

understand the situation from all angles.

Female Robot:

That's a good rule of thumb for, well, pretty much

Female Robot:

everything we talk about on this show.

Female Robot:

Critical thinking for the win.

Male Robot:

Couldn't agree more.

Female Robot:

But speaking of critical thinking, if our listener could take away

Female Robot:

just one big idea from this deep dive.

Male Robot:

Oh, that's a good question.

Male Robot:

If I had to pick one, the future isn't set in stone.

Male Robot:

There are huge forces at play, global trends that seem to have

Male Robot:

a life of their own, but we can still make choices, take action as

Male Robot:

a collective, that change things.

Female Robot:

It's not about if the world is going to change, it's about how.

Female Robot:

We change with it.

Female Robot:

And how we help to shape that change.

Male Robot:

Exactly.

Male Robot:

And that means we have to be paying attention, we have to be

Male Robot:

informed, we have to be willing to challenge the way things are.

Male Robot:

Ask the tough questions about the systems we live in, the stories

Male Robot:

we're told, and the kind of worlds we want to leave behind.

Female Robot:

Well said.

Female Robot:

I think that's a perfect place to wrap up.

Female Robot:

Listeners, if this deep dive has you curious, if it's made you question

Female Robot:

what you thought you knew about global politics, then we've done our job.

Female Robot:

Keep learning, keep asking questions, and most importantly, keep talking about it.

Male Robot:

Absolutely.

Male Robot:

The world needs more people who are engaged, who think critically, and who are

Male Robot:

willing to have those tough conversations.

Male Robot:

Thanks for joining us on this Deep Dive.

Male Robot:

Until next time.

Trevor:

So there you go.

Trevor:

Did you find that interesting?

Trevor:

I would like to hear your feedback on that one and your thoughts on AI and its

Trevor:

future in the world, particularly in how its role in propaganda might develop.

Trevor:

Anyway, we'll be back with the full panel next week.

Trevor:

Bye for now.

About the Podcast

Show artwork for The Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove
The Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove
News, political events, culture, ethics and the transformations taking place in our society.

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